Sport Picks
Brighton vs Bournemouth
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Amex Stadium, Brighton 
Match Events
32'
32'
Tavernier M.
(Penalty)
58'
58'
Welbeck D.
60'
60'
Senesi M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Bournemouth have won more games recently than Brighton.
- Model gives Bournemouth a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Brighton Clean Sheet 15%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brighton | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Brighton vs Bournemouth
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brighton
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Bournemouth
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brighton
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brighton
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brighton Compare
Top Goalscorer Kostoulas C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bournemouth Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brighton 15 / 100
Bournemouth 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brighton Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brighton scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Bournemouth has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Brighton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brighton VS Bournemouth
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brighton
(Home) 24 May
Brighton
0 : 3 Manchester United
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0 Wolves
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1 Brighton
21 Apr
Brighton
3 : 0 Chelsea
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3 Manchester United
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0 Wolves
21 Apr
Brighton
3 : 0 Chelsea
21 Mar
Brighton
2 : 1 Liverpool
04 Mar
Brighton
0 : 1 Arsenal
Page 1 of 3
Bournemouth
(Away) 30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
18 Apr
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bournemouth
11 Apr
Arsenal
1 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
