Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup Wembley Stadium, London

Brighton W

0 - 4

Manchester City W

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Shaw K.

Assist: Greenwood A.

45'

Greenwood A.

54'

Knaak R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Brighton W

30%

Draws

51%

Manchester City W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manchester City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Manchester City W have won more games recently than Brighton W.
51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Manchester City W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Manchester City W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Manchester City W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Brighton W Clean Sheet 10%

Manchester City W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brighton W	Manchester City W
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	10	23
Draws	7	4
Losses	11	3
Goals Scored	1.32	2.8
Goals Conceded	1.36	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Women’s FA Cup

Brighton W vs Manchester City W

0:4

Apr 25, 2026 WSL

Brighton W vs Manchester City W

3:2

Sep 12, 2025 WSL

Manchester City W vs Brighton W

2:1

Mar 30, 2025 WSL

Brighton W vs Manchester City W

1:2

Sep 29, 2024 WSL

Manchester City W vs Brighton W

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Manchester City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Greenwood A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton W 30 / 100

Manchester City W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brighton W Manchester City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brighton W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Brighton W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Manchester City W conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Brighton W VS Manchester City W

1.13 Goals Scored 3

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton W

(Home)

26 Sept

London City Lionesses W

2 : 0

Brighton W

23 Sept

Brighton W

4 : 0

Charlton W

20 Sept

Brighton W

1 : 1

Aston Villa W

13 Sept

Birmingham W

2 : 2

Brighton W

06 Sept

Brighton W

0 : 1

Arsenal W

Page 1 of 6

Manchester City W

(Away)

26 Sept

Charlton W

0 : 1

Manchester City W

22 Sept

Bayern Munich W

2 : 2

Manchester City W

18 Sept

Manchester City W

4 : 2

Liverpool W

13 Sept

Aston Villa W

1 : 4

Manchester City W

06 Sept

Manchester City W

3 : 1

Birmingham W

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Hashtag W 1

Oxford Utd W 2

Luton W 3

Mansfield W 0

Plymouth W 7

Maidstone W 0

Winchester City W 0

Gwalia United W 4

Middlesbrough W 4

Cheadle Town W 0

Northampton W 3

Sudbury W 2

South Shields W 0

AFC Fylde W 5

Kidderminster W 1

Redditch Borough FC W 0

Charlton W -

TBD -

Actonians W 0

Watford W 5

Saltdean United W 1

Bromley W 0

Leafield Athletic W 8

Crusaders W 0

Port Vale W 1

Worcester W 2

Oxford City W 4

Sherborne Town W 2

Swindon W 1

Dulwich Hamlet W 0

Dartford W 5

Forest Green W 1

Keynsham Town W 1

Bournemouth Sports W 0

London Bees W 5

Barking W 3

Portishead Town W 1

Billericay W 0

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Huddersfield W 4

Wythenshawe FC W 2

Leeds W 5

St Helens W 1

Solihull Moors W 0

West Brom W 3

Nottingham University W 1

Cambridge Utd W 2

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 3

International Soccer Academy W 2

Durham Cestria W 6

Dronfield Town W 1

Lincoln Utd. W 1

Stourbridge W 3

Halifax W 1

Hull City W 4

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Loughborough Lightning W 1

Hednesford W 2

SJR Worksop W 1

Bowers & Pitsea W 3

Wimborne W 2

Brentford W 1

Sutton W 2

Torquay W 0

Exeter W 6

AFC Wimbledon W 3

Chatham W 4

Bolton W 1

Ponteland United W 2

Penrith W 2

Altrincham W 3

York City W 1

Leeds Modernians W 0

Wroxham W 3

Lye Town W 0

Farnham W 0

Leyton Orient W 8

Millbrook W 0

Bournemouth W 11

Haringey Borough W 0

Bristol Rovers W 3

Fulham W 5

South London W 0

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 6

Gloucester City W 2

Worthing FC W 4

Abingdon W 1

TBD -

Ipswich W -

Durham W -

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Millwall W 0

Cheltenham W 2

Lewes W 4

Corsham Town W 0

TBD -

Crystal Palace W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 12

Blackburn W 0

Stevenage W 3

Norwich W 4

Peterborough W 4

Real Bedford W 1

Manchester Laces W 1

Wallsend W 3

Coventry Sphinx W 0

Derby W 6

Stockport W 3

Tranmere W 0

TBD -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Wycombe W 1

Bridgwater United W 2

Royston Town W 1

Coundon Court W 0

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Portsmouth W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 4

Chester-Le-Street Town W 0

Crewe W 1

Boldmere St Michaels W 2

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 2

Rugby Borough W 1

Stoke City LFC W 7

Sutton Coldfield Town W 0

TBD -

Nottingham W -

1/64-finals

Oxford Utd W 3

Luton W 1

Plymouth W 2

Gwalia United W 0

Middlesbrough W 3

Northampton W 0

AFC Fylde W 4

Kidderminster W 0

Charlton W -

TBD -

Watford W 4

Saltdean United W 0

Leafield Athletic W 2

Worcester W 1

Oxford City W 0

Swindon W 3

Dartford W 2

Keynsham Town W 1

London Bees W 5

Portishead Town W 0

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Huddersfield W 1

Leeds W 3

West Brom W 2

Cambridge Utd W 0

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 2

Durham Cestria W 1

Stourbridge W 1

Hull City W 7

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Hednesford W 0

Bowers & Pitsea W 2

Sutton W 3

Exeter W 2

Chatham W 3

Ponteland United W 0

Altrincham W 1

York City W 3

Wroxham W 1

Leyton Orient W 1

Bournemouth W 7

Bristol Rovers W 1

Fulham W 3

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 4

Worthing FC W 1

TBD -

Ipswich W -

Durham W -

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Cheltenham W 0

Lewes W 4

TBD -

Crystal Palace W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 4

Norwich W 0

Peterborough W 4

Wallsend W 0

Derby W 4

Stockport W 1

TBD -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Bridgwater United W 1

Royston Town W 2

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Portsmouth W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 5

Boldmere St Michaels W 0

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 2

Stoke City LFC W 0

TBD -

Nottingham W -

1/32-finals

Oxford Utd W 2

Plymouth W 1

Middlesbrough W 3

AFC Fylde W 0

Charlton W 3

Watford W 2

Leafield Athletic W 2

Swindon W 3

Dartford W 2

London Bees W 3

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Leeds W 0

West Brom W 3

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 1

Hull City W 2

Birmingham W 6

Sporting Khalsa W 0

Sutton W 0

Chatham W 3

Altrincham W 0

York City W 3

Bournemouth W 5

Fulham W 0

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 0

Ipswich W 5

Durham W 0

Sheffield Utd W 1

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Lewes W 0

Crystal Palace W 1

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 7

Peterborough W 0

Derby W 1

Sunderland W 5

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W 10

Royston Town W 0

Bristol City W 2

Portsmouth W 0

Newcastle Utd W 4

Liverpool Feds W 0

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 1

Nottingham W 2

1/16-finals

Oxford Utd W 3

Middlesbrough W 1

Charlton W 10

Swindon W 0

London Bees W 0

Liverpool W 6

West Brom W 0

Everton W 5

Hull City W 2

Birmingham W 6

Chatham W 3

York City W 0

Bournemouth W 0

Manchester City W 6

Ipswich W 1

Sheffield Utd W 2

Chelsea W 5

Crystal Palace W 0

Manchester United W 5

Burnley W 0

Sunderland W 0

London City Lionesses W 1

Tottenham W 3

Leicester W 0

Arsenal W 2

Aston Villa W 0

Southampton FC W 1

Bristol City W 2

Newcastle Utd W 0

West Ham W 3

Brighton W 2

Nottingham W 0

1/8-finals

Oxford Utd W 0

Charlton W 1

Liverpool W 2

Everton W 1

Birmingham W 8

Chatham W 0

Manchester City W 4

Sheffield Utd W 0

Chelsea W 2

Manchester United W 1

London City Lionesses W 2

Tottenham W 3

Arsenal W 3

Bristol City W 0

West Ham W 1

Brighton W 2

Quarter-finals

Charlton W 0

Liverpool W 1

Arsenal W 0

Brighton W 2

Chelsea W 2

Tottenham W 1

Birmingham W 0

Manchester City W 1

Semi-finals

Liverpool W 2

Brighton W 3

Chelsea W 2

Manchester City W 3

Final

Brighton W 0

Manchester City W 4

Brighton W vs Manchester City W

England

Brighton W

Manchester City W

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Brighton W Compare

Manchester City W Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton W

Manchester City W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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