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Brindabella Blues vs Belconnen United

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Calwell Field, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Oliveira A.
68' Event
Billington H.
70' Event
Brown R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Brindabella Blues and Belconnen United finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belconnen United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Brindabella Blues
6%
Draws
90%
Belconnen United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belconnen United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belconnen United come out ahead of Brindabella Blues on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Belconnen United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belconnen United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Brindabella Blues Clean Sheet 10%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brindabella Blues Belconnen United
Matches Played 35 39
Wins 15 17
Draws 1 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL ACT
Brindabella Blues vs Belconnen United
1:4
Apr 15, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Brindabella Blues
4:1
Aug 20, 2025 Capital Premier League
Brindabella Blues vs Belconnen United
2:0
May 31, 2025 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Brindabella Blues
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Capital Premier League
Brindabella Blues vs Belconnen United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brindabella Blues Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Belconnen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Billington H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brindabella Blues 10 / 100
Belconnen United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brindabella Blues Belconnen United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belconnen United let in goals in 87% of their last 39 matches.

Brindabella Blues's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Belconnen United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brindabella Blues VS Belconnen United
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brindabella Blues

(Home)
11 Jul
Canberra Croatia
2 : 0
Brindabella Blues
04 Jul
Monaro Panthers
9 : 0
Brindabella Blues
28 Jun
Canberra Juventus
2 : 0
Brindabella Blues
20 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
13 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 4
Belconnen United
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Belconnen United

(Away)
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0
Belconnen United
04 Jul
Belconnen United
0 : 1
Canberra Juventus
20 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
13 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 4
Belconnen United
10 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2
Canberra White Eagles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia16131248:1840
2Monaro Panthers15120353:2236
3Tuggeranong United15110436:3033
4Tigers FC16102443:2032
5Canberra Juventus15100534:2630
6Queanbeyan City1481530:2125
7Canberra Olympic1551932:4116
8O'Connor Knights15501015:3015
9Belconnen United15221123:348
10Brindabella Blues1420127:446
11Canberra White Eagles16111412:474
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)