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Stadium Background

Brindisi vs Manfredonia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 Franco Fanuzzi, Brindisi
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Porzio A.
29' Event
Rajkovic M.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Manole M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Brindisi and Manfredonia finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brindisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brindisi
35%
Draws
32%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Manfredonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brindisi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 68%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brindisi Manfredonia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Brindisi
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Manfredonia
5:0
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Manfredonia
1:1
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Brindisi
1:4
Mar 23, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Manfredonia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Manole M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cirio P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Manfredonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brindisi 50 / 100
Manfredonia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brindisi Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brindisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Brindisi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Manfredonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Brindisi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brindisi VS Manfredonia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brindisi

(Home)
04 May
Brindisi
0 : 0
Francavilla
27 Apr
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Brindisi
17 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
13 Apr
Nocerina
2 : 0
Brindisi
06 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 0
ASD Ugento
Page 1 of 6

Manfredonia

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)