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Brisbane City vs Western Pride

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021 Spencer Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane City play Western Pride in the Queensland Premier League 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane City averaged 2.3 goals scored and 2 conceded. Western Pride averaged 2 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane City won 5, Western Pride won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 2021 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Brisbane City and 1.75 for Western Pride. This points to a Brisbane City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Brisbane City
15%
Draws
34%
Western Pride
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Brisbane City picked up more points recently compared to Western Pride.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 12%
Western Pride Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane City Western Pride
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.3 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Brisbane City vs Western Pride
3:2
Sep 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Brisbane City vs Western Pride
2:0
May 21, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Western Pride vs Brisbane City
1:2
Aug 24, 2019 NPL Queensland
Western Pride vs Brisbane City
1:3
May 7, 2019 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Western Pride
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane City 48 / 100
Western Pride 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane City Western Pride

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brisbane City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brisbane City attacking → ← attacking Western Pride

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane City scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Western Pride let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Brisbane City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Western Pride lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 52
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brisbane City20200064:1260
2Rochedale20141557:2643
3SWQ Thunder20132547:3241
4Western Pride20102836:3332
5Ipswich Knights2093841:3530
6Mitchelton20911041:4328
7Southside Eagles2066830:3324
8Sunshine Coast2065933:4023
9Souths20501528:5415
10Holland Park Hawks20331429:5412
11Wynnum Wolves20311618:6210