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Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ciereszko W.
32'
Garratty O.
45' Event
Ciereszko H.

AI Match Summary

Toowong City in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toowong City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Brisbane Knights
6%
Draws
90%
Toowong City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Toowong City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brisbane Knights haven't matched Toowong City's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Toowong City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Toowong City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Brisbane Knights Clean Sheet 10%
Toowong City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Knights Toowong City
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Toowong City vs Brisbane Knights
2:1
Jul 27, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City
0:2
Sep 27, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Toowong City vs Brisbane Knights
2:0
Apr 17, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City
0:0
Jul 19, 2019 Brisbane Premier League
Brisbane Knights vs Toowong City
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Knights Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Toowong City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciereszko W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciereszko H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Knights 10 / 100
Toowong City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Knights Toowong City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toowong City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brisbane Knights scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Brisbane Knights stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Knights VS Toowong City
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414