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Brisbane Roar U23 vs Olympic FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Plusnin G.
35' Event
Simpkin J.
47' Event
Cobb T.

AI Match Summary

Olympic FC in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympic FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brisbane Roar U23
15%
Draws
42%
Olympic FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olympic FC lately — more wins on the board than Brisbane Roar U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Olympic FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U23 Olympic FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Olympic FC
1:5
Aug 3, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Olympic FC
1:3
May 25, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:0
Aug 4, 2024 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Olympic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobb T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Simpkin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 30 / 100
Olympic FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U23 Olympic FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brisbane Roar U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Olympic FC has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Olympic FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar U23 VS Olympic FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar U23

(Home)
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2
Brisbane Roar U23
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1
Rochedale
Page 1 of 6

Olympic FC

(Away)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3
Olympic FC
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)