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Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Kayo Stadium, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
James Ngor S.
39'
Maieroni N.
44' Event
D'Agostino N.

AI Match Summary

The A-League 2025/2026 game between Brisbane Roar and Central Coast finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Central Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brisbane Roar
15%
Draws
0%
Central Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brisbane Roar come out ahead of Central Coast on wins alone.
  • Model gives Brisbane Roar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 18%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar Central Coast
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 A-League
Central Coast vs Brisbane Roar
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast
1:2
Dec 31, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast
2:0
May 2, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Brisbane Roar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Central Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Pizio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roux S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar 85 / 100
Central Coast 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar Central Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brisbane Roar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Coast has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Central Coast registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Brisbane Roar's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar VS Central Coast
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar

(Home)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Central Coast

(Away)
26 Sept
Western Sydney Wanderers
5 : 1
Central Coast
12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0
Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2
Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1
Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0
Central Coast
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)