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Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory

Australia Australia

A-League Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar host Perth Glory in the A-League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Perth Glory have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Brisbane Roar have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Brisbane Roar slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.38, favoring Brisbane Roar. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Brisbane Roar
20%
Draws
46%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth Glory haven't matched Brisbane Roar's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 17%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar Perth Glory
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar 36 / 100
Perth Glory 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar Perth Glory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Brisbane Roar found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Brisbane Roar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar VS Perth Glory
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar

(Home)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
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Perth Glory

(Away)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sydney FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Western Sydney Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)