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Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Maieroni N.
28' Event
Vidic J.
Assist: Russell T.
42' Event
Nam Tae-Hee

AI Match Summary

The A-League game between Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brisbane Roar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Brisbane Roar
15%
Draws
21%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Brisbane Roar haven't matched Perth Glory's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Brisbane Roar's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 14%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar Perth Glory
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nam Tae-Hee
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Perth Glory Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar 35 / 100
Perth Glory 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar Perth Glory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Brisbane Roar found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Brisbane Roar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar VS Perth Glory
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar

(Home)
23 Oct
Brisbane Roar
2 : 1
Perth Glory
11 Oct
Brisbane Roar
3 : 1
Broadmeadow Magic FC
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
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Perth Glory

(Away)
23 Oct
Brisbane Roar
2 : 1
Perth Glory
17 Oct
Macarthur FC
2 : 1
Perth Glory
03 Oct
Perth Glory
1 : 3
Adelaide Utd
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Phoenix 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Western Sydney Wanderers 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Macarthur FC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Sydney FC 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Brisbane Roar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Auckland FC 2 1 0 1 5:6 3
7 Newcastle Jets 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 Melbourne Victory 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
9 Central Coast 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Melbourne City 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Adelaide Utd 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Perth Glory 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)