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Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory

Australia Australia

A-League Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar host Perth Glory in the A-League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Perth Glory have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Brisbane Roar have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Brisbane Roar slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Brisbane Roar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brisbane Roar
22%
Draws
18%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brisbane Roar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Perth Glory haven't matched Brisbane Roar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Brisbane Roar's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 18%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar Perth Glory
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar 58 / 100
Perth Glory 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar Perth Glory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Brisbane Roar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Brisbane Roar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar VS Perth Glory
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar

(Home)
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Brisbane Roar
2 : 3
Melbourne City
10 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7

Perth Glory

(Away)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Utd00000:00
2Central Coast00000:00
3Newcastle Jets00000:00
4Perth Glory00000:00
5Brisbane Roar00000:00
6Sydney FC00000:00
7Wellington Phoenix00000:00
8Melbourne Victory00000:00
9Melbourne City00000:00
10Western Sydney Wanderers00000:00
11Macarthur FC00000:00
12Auckland FC00000:00
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
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