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Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
08:40 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar host Sydney FC in the A-League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sydney FC have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Brisbane Roar have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Sydney FC slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.88) point toward Sydney FC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Brisbane Roar
15%
Draws
37%
Sydney FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney FC come out ahead of Brisbane Roar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sydney FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 10%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar Sydney FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Australia Cup
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
2:4
Apr 2, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 A-League
Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar
3:4
Nov 1, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar 26 / 100
Sydney FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar Sydney FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Brisbane Roar found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sydney FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Brisbane Roar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar VS Sydney FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar

(Home)
23 Oct
Brisbane Roar
2 : 1
Perth Glory
11 Oct
Brisbane Roar
3 : 1
Broadmeadow Magic FC
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Sydney FC

(Away)
16 Oct
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
29 Jul
Tottenham
2 : 1
Sydney FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Western Sydney Wanderers 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Macarthur FC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Brisbane Roar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Wellington Phoenix 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Auckland FC 2 1 0 1 5:6 3
6 Newcastle Jets 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
7 Central Coast 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Sydney FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Melbourne Victory 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Melbourne City 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Perth Glory 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)