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Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Brisbane Roar Logo

Brisbane Roar

2 - 4
FT
Sydney FC Logo

Sydney FC

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sekine T.
Assist: Garuccio B.
10'
Courtney-Perkins J.
12'
Grant R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Brisbane Roar
15%
Draws
51%
Sydney FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sydney FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sydney FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sydney FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 11%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar Sydney FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Australia Cup
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
2:4
Apr 2, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 A-League
Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar
3:4
Nov 1, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sydney FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekine T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garuccio B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar 10 / 100
Sydney FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar Sydney FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Brisbane Roar scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Sydney FC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Brisbane Roar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar VS Sydney FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar

(Home)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Sydney FC

(Away)
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
29 Jul
Tottenham
2 : 1
Sydney FC
21 Jul
Bayswater
1 : 5
Sydney FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory 1
South Melbourne 2