Sport Picks
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two 2025/2026 Memorial Stadium, Bristol 
Match Events
26'
26'
Harrison E.
Assist: Balmer K.
30'
30'
Rijks M.
Assist: Senior J.
33'
33'
Sub
Gordon K. In: Pereira D.
Out: Gordon K.
AI Match Summary
Bristol Rovers in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol Rovers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bristol Rovers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bristol Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Crawley Town.
- Model gives Crawley Town a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 20%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bristol Rovers | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 League One
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bristol Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Harrison E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rijks M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Crawley Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Watson L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bristol Rovers 24 / 100
Crawley Town 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bristol Rovers Crawley Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bristol Rovers found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Crawley Town conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Crawley Town has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bristol Rovers VS Crawley Town
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bristol Rovers
(Home) 06 Oct
Wycombe
4 : 1 Bristol Rovers
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1 Bristol Rovers
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
Page 1 of 3
Crawley Town
(Away) 06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0 Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
