Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough

England England

EFL Cup Memorial Stadium, Bristol
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Dornelly J.
19' Event
Leonard H.
(Penalty)
22'
Forde S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bristol Rovers
20%
Draws
29%
Peterborough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bristol Rovers have won more games recently than Peterborough.
  • Win probability leans Bristol Rovers's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Bristol Rovers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Peterborough, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Peterborough here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 18%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bristol Rovers Peterborough
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 League One
Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers
3:2
Apr 20, 2024 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough
0:2
Sep 30, 2023 League One
Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol Rovers 40 / 100
Peterborough 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bristol Rovers Peterborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Rovers found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Peterborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Bristol Rovers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bristol Rovers VS Peterborough
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bristol Rovers

(Home)
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0
Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0
Colchester
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3
Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6

Peterborough

(Away)
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
12 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1
Peterborough
05 Sept
Peterborough
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
29 Aug
Blackpool
4 : 0
Peterborough
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crystal Palace -
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Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Manchester City -
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Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Sunderland -
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Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
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Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
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Leeds -
Ipswich -
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Leicester 1
Northampton 0
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Arsenal -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
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AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Bournemouth -
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Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Liverpool -
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Tottenham -
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Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
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Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
1/32-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Manchester City -
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Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Liverpool -
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Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
1/16-finals
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Manchester United -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
Norwich -
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Coventry -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Fleetwood Town -
Sheffield Utd -
Everton -
Wolves -
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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