Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bristol Rovers vs Tottenham U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Memorial Stadium, Bristol
Tue, Aug 26, 2025
5 - 4
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Thompson T.
Assist: Williams-Barnett L.
14' Event
Williams-Barnett L.
Assist: Russell-Denny R.
16' Event
Akhamrich Y.
Assist: Irow O.

AI Match Summary

Bristol Rovers in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bristol Rovers
20%
Draws
30%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bristol Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Tottenham U21.
  • Bristol Rovers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Bristol Rovers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tottenham U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 20%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bristol Rovers Tottenham U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Tottenham U21
5:4
Aug 20, 2024 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Tottenham U21
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavegn F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Harrison E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tottenham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams-Barnett L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol Rovers 58 / 100
Tottenham U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bristol Rovers Tottenham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Rovers's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tottenham U21 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Bristol Rovers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bristol Rovers VS Tottenham U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bristol Rovers

(Home)
08 Aug
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1
Peterborough
21 Jul
Forest Green
2 : 2
Bristol Rovers
18 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1
Portsmouth
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Leicester
11 Jul
Salisbury
2 : 3
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham U21

(Away)
04 Aug
Enfield Town
3 : 0
Tottenham U21
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Tottenham U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)