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British Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025
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Match Events

84' Event
Seymour E.
Assist: Scott Z.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between British Virgin Islands and Cayman Islands finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayman Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
British Virgin Islands
15%
Draws
21%
Cayman Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: British Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Cayman Islands have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — British Virgin Islands are scoring more at 0.94.
  • Win probability leans Cayman Islands's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 20%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:0
Sep 4, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
0:1
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

British Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

British Virgin Islands 28 / 100
Cayman Islands 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayman Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayman Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Cayman Islands registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

British Virgin Islands's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

British Virgin Islands VS Cayman Islands
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

British Virgin Islands

(Home)
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
Page 1 of 7

Cayman Islands

(Away)
04 Oct
Puerto Rico
1 : 0
Cayman Islands
02 Oct
Cayman Islands
0 : 3
Puerto Rico
27 Sept
Guyana
2 : 0
Cayman Islands
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barbados 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Bahamas 4 1 1 2 10:13 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belize 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
2 Anguilla 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Cayman Islands 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
3 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams