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British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League TCIFA National Academy, Providenciales
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Forbes B.
Assist: Hutchinson D.
14'
Javier K.
46'
Sub
Javier K. In: Williams I.
Out: Javier K.

AI Match Summary

Turks and Caicos Islands in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turks and Caicos Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
British Virgin Islands
15%
Draws
57%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turks and Caicos Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Turks and Caicos Islands have won more games recently than British Virgin Islands.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Turks and Caicos Islands taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 18%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric British Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.91 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands
3:0
Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
0:3
Oct 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands
2:2
Sep 9, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:1
Mar 21, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

British Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paul J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

British Virgin Islands 10 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
British Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turks and Caicos Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turks and Caicos Islands has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Turks and Caicos Islands lost 3 of their last 5 games.

British Virgin Islands scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

British Virgin Islands VS Turks and Caicos Islands
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

British Virgin Islands

(Home)
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
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Turks and Caicos Islands

(Away)
06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
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