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Briton Ferry vs Abertillery Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Clayton J.
75' Event
Jones J.
90' Event
Hurford C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Briton Ferry and Abertillery Bluebirds finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Briton Ferry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Briton Ferry
20%
Draws
0%
Abertillery Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Briton Ferry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Briton Ferry come out ahead of Abertillery Bluebirds on wins alone.
  • Briton Ferry are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 68%
Abertillery Bluebirds Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briton Ferry Abertillery Bluebirds
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.39 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Cymru South
Briton Ferry vs Abertillery Bluebirds
2:1
Aug 19, 2023 Cymru South
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Briton Ferry
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briton Ferry Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hurford C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Abertillery Bluebirds Compare

Top Goalscorer Clayton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry 95 / 100
Abertillery Bluebirds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briton Ferry Abertillery Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Briton Ferry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abertillery Bluebirds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Abertillery Bluebirds's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Briton Ferry scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Briton Ferry VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Briton Ferry

(Home)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 7

Abertillery Bluebirds

(Away)
21 Sept
New Inn
2 : 1
Abertillery Bluebirds
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5
Afan Lido
16 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 3
Abertillery Bluebirds
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7
Ammanford Town
29 Mar
Cambrian United
5 : 2
Abertillery Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Briton Ferry 30 23 2 5 87:39 71
2 Llanelli 30 20 4 6 80:40 64
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 6 7 60:42 57
4 Cambrian United 30 14 8 8 60:37 50
5 Caerau Ely 30 15 4 11 72:60 49
6 Carmarthen Town 30 12 11 7 50:39 47
7 Afan Lido 30 14 4 12 68:56 46
8 Goytre Utd 30 12 7 11 58:59 43
9 Cwmbran Celtic 30 12 6 12 69:64 42
10 Baglan Dragons 30 11 8 11 46:41 41
11 Trefelin 30 10 8 12 47:63 38
12 Llantwit Major 30 9 8 13 44:54 35
13 Taffs Well 30 8 8 14 44:49 32
14 Pontardawe 30 8 8 14 52:70 32
15 Abertillery Bluebirds 30 3 6 21 34:94 15
16 Abergavenny Town 30 2 2 26 20:84 8
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