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Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Old Road, Briton Ferry
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Kenny J.
44'
Hill M.
45' Event
Walters T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Briton Ferry and Colwyn Bay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Briton Ferry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Briton Ferry
20%
Draws
56%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Colwyn Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Colwyn Bay's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briton Ferry Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.22 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briton Ferry Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Briton Ferry's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Colwyn Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Briton Ferry went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Briton Ferry VS Colwyn Bay
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Briton Ferry

(Home)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)