Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Martinez L.
44'
44'
Coke
71'
71'
Dango P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arandina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arandina have won more games recently than Briviesca.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 21%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Briviesca | Arandina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Arandina
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Briviesca
2:2
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Arandina
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Briviesca
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Briviesca Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coke
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Arandina Compare
Top Goalscorer Dango P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Briviesca 32 / 100
Arandina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Briviesca Arandina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Briviesca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Arandina has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Briviesca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Briviesca
(Home) 11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0 Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1 Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0 Briviesca
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
20 Apr
Briviesca
2 : 2 Arandina
12 Apr
Briviesca
2 : 1 Palencia CF
29 Mar
Briviesca
1 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 3
Arandina
(Away) 20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Arandina
04 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 1 Arandina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Astorga | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 65:25 | 75 |
| 2 | Atletico Tordesillas | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 52:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Burgos CF B | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 45:29 | 60 |
| 4 | Arandina | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 49:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 51:41 | 57 |
| 6 | La Virgen | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 44:30 | 57 |
| 7 | Leonesa B | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 54:43 | 55 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 53:44 | 54 |
| 9 | Becerril | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | 51 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 11 | Santa Marta Tormes | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 48:41 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Mojados | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Almazan | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Palencia CF | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:40 | 40 |
| 15 | Mansilles | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Bembibre | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 31:53 | 38 |
| 17 | Briviesca | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:56 | 32 |
| 18 | Ciudad Rodrigo CF | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 19 | CD Laguna (Valladolid) | 36 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 23:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
