Sport Picks
Brno vs Sparta Prague Prediction & H2H Stats
Czech Republic
Chance Liga ShipEx Aréna, Brno 
Match Events
34'
34'
Vasulin D.
Assist: Vachousek T.
50'
50'
Mercado J.
64'
64'
Sub
Penxa L. In: Vanicek A.
Out: Penxa L.
AI Match Summary
Brno in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brno lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Prague.
- Model gives Sparta Prague a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sparta Prague here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brno Clean Sheet 11%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brno | Sparta Prague |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Chance Liga
Brno vs Sparta Prague
3:1
Oct 30, 2024 MOL Cup
Sparta Prague vs Brno
4:0
Apr 2, 2023 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Brno
3:1
Oct 8, 2022 Chance Liga
Brno vs Sparta Prague
0:4
May 29, 2021 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Brno
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brno Compare
Top Goalscorer Vasulin D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vachousek T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Sparta Prague Compare
Top Goalscorer Mercado J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brno 10 / 100
Sparta Prague 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brno Sparta Prague
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brno scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Sparta Prague let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Brno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brno VS Sparta Prague
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Brno
(Home) 02 Oct
Brno
5 : 1 Skalica
19 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0 Brno
16 Sept
Kraluv Dvur
0 : 3 Brno
12 Sept
Brno
2 : 1 Artis Brno
05 Sept
Slavia Prague
4 : 0 Brno
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Brno
5 : 1 Skalica
12 Sept
Brno
2 : 1 Artis Brno
02 Sept
Brno
1 : 0 Hradec Kralove
29 Aug
Brno
3 : 2 Zlin
07 Aug
Brno
0 : 1 Liberec
Page 1 of 3
Sparta Prague
(Away) 02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3 Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3 Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0 Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5 Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3 Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5 Sparta Prague
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1 Sparta Prague
22 Aug
Artis Brno
0 : 4 Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Liberec | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 7 | Sparta Prague | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Jablonec | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 14 |
| 10 | Plzen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Ostrava | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Artis Brno | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | 5 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:16 | 4 |
| 16 | Zlin | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)
