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Broadbeach Utd. vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Nikiforides Family Park
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AI Match Summary

Broadbeach Utd. play Redlands in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Broadbeach Utd. averaged 2.45 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Redlands averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Broadbeach Utd. won 2, Redlands won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Broadbeach Utd. and 1.50 for Redlands. This points to a Broadbeach Utd. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Broadbeach Utd.
27%
Draws
24%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Broadbeach Utd. picked up more points recently compared to Redlands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 16%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Broadbeach Utd. Redlands
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Redlands
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:4
Jun 15, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
May 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Redlands
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Peck W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borg K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Redlands Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Broadbeach Utd. 47 / 100
Redlands 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Broadbeach Utd. Redlands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Broadbeach Utd. or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Broadbeach Utd. attacking → ← attacking Redlands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Broadbeach Utd. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Redlands let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Broadbeach Utd. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Redlands lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 35
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507