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Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Nikiforides Family Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Broadbeach Utd. play St. George Willawong in the Queensland Premier League. Broadbeach Utd. are favorites here. Recently, Broadbeach Utd. averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. St. George Willawong averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Broadbeach Utd. won 2, St. George Willawong won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Broadbeach Utd. and 0.56 for St. George Willawong. This points to a Broadbeach Utd. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Broadbeach Utd.
25%
Draws
17%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Broadbeach Utd. picked up more points recently compared to St. George Willawong.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 30%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Broadbeach Utd. St. George Willawong
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 2 18
Goals Scored 2.43 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong
4:1
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:5
Jun 23, 2024 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
Mar 24, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidiqi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Broadbeach Utd. 58 / 100
St. George Willawong 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Broadbeach Utd. St. George Willawong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Broadbeach Utd. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Broadbeach Utd. & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Broadbeach Utd. attacking → ← attacking St. George Willawong

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Broadbeach Utd. scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

St. George Willawong let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Broadbeach Utd. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St. George Willawong lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 21
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507