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Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Nikiforides Family Park, Gold Coast
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fogarty D.
49' Event
Fogarty D.
66' Event
Mitchell E.

AI Match Summary

Broadbeach Utd. in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Broadbeach Utd..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Broadbeach Utd.
6%
Draws
4%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Broadbeach Utd. lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • Broadbeach Utd. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 68%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Broadbeach Utd. St. George Willawong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 2.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong
4:1
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:5
Jun 23, 2024 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
Mar 24, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidiqi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Broadbeach Utd. 95 / 100
St. George Willawong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Broadbeach Utd. St. George Willawong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Broadbeach Utd. scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

St. George Willawong let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Broadbeach Utd. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Broadbeach Utd. VS St. George Willawong
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Broadbeach Utd.

(Home)
18 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
11 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 1
Caboolture
04 Jul
Robina City
0 : 0
Broadbeach Utd.
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1
Capalaba FC
20 Jun
North Star
1 : 3
Broadbeach Utd.
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St. George Willawong

(Away)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)