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Bromsgrove vs Sudbury

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stone J.
14' Event
Robinson T.
24'
Benbow L.

AI Match Summary

Bromsgrove in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bromsgrove.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Bromsgrove
15%
Draws
18%
Sudbury
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bromsgrove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Bromsgrove have won more games recently than Sudbury.
  • Win probability leans Bromsgrove's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bromsgrove Clean Sheet 20%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bromsgrove Sudbury
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.84 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.49
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bromsgrove vs Sudbury
5:3
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Bromsgrove
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bromsgrove vs Sudbury
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Bromsgrove
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Bromsgrove vs Sudbury
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bromsgrove Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewthwaite T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Robinson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Sudbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Stone J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peters O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bromsgrove 85 / 100
Sudbury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bromsgrove Sudbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bromsgrove Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bromsgrove scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Sudbury has conceded goals in 91% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Bromsgrove remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bromsgrove VS Sudbury
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bromsgrove

(Home)
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
12 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 0
Bury Town
05 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 0
Nuneaton
31 Aug
Worcester
0 : 1
Bromsgrove
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0
Stortford
Page 1 of 7

Sudbury

(Away)
12 Sept
Ware
2 : 0
Sudbury
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1
Lowestoft
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3
Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0
Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)