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Stadium Background

Bron Radom vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kolasa K.
14' Event
Gebala P.
23' Event
Kempski M.

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bron Radom
6%
Draws
4%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bron Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomaszow Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Bron Radom.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bron Radom taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bron Radom Clean Sheet 20%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bron Radom Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:3
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Bron Radom
1:2
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Bron Radom
2:2
Oct 11, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:0
Mar 29, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bron Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymanski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bashlay D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolasa K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gebala P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bron Radom 85 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bron Radom Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Bron Radom scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Bron Radom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bron Radom VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315