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Bronshoj vs Naesby

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Tingbjerg Idraetspark, Copenhagen
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Larsen L.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Kiilerich Overgaard L.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Bronshoj and Naesby finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bronshoj
30%
Draws
33%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bronshoj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Bronshoj on wins alone.
  • Bronshoj are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bronshoj Clean Sheet 20%
Naesby Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bronshoj Naesby
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 7 22
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.22 2.74
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Bronshoj
0:0
May 16, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Bronshoj
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 3rd Division
Bronshoj vs Naesby
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Bronshoj
1:5
Sep 14, 2025 3rd Division
Bronshoj vs Naesby
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bronshoj Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiilerich Overgaard L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Naesby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bronshoj 42 / 100
Naesby 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bronshoj Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bronshoj scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Naesby let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Bronshoj went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bronshoj VS Naesby
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bronshoj

(Home)
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
15 Aug
Naesby
0 : 0
Bronshoj
08 Aug
Bronshoj
3 : 1
Sundby
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Bronshoj
0 : 0
Ishoj IF
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Naesby

(Away)
15 Aug
Naesby
0 : 0
Bronshoj
08 Aug
Vanlose
3 : 0
Naesby
04 Aug
Kolding BK
0 : 3
Naesby
01 Aug
Naesby
2 : 1
Sundby
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)