Sport Picks
Brown Adrogue vs Excursionistas
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Adrogue 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Baez B. In: Meaurio N.
Out: Baez B.
52'
52'
Silva J.
58'
58'
Sub
Alaniz M. In: Avalos A.
Out: Alaniz M.
AI Match Summary
Brown Adrogue in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brown Adrogue.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excursionistas lately — more wins on the board than Brown Adrogue.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Brown Adrogue have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 19%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brown Adrogue | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.62 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Excursionistas
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Brown Adrogue
1:0
Jul 9, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Brown Adrogue
0:2
Feb 19, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Excursionistas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brown Adrogue Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Excursionistas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brown Adrogue 36 / 100
Excursionistas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brown Adrogue Excursionistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Brown Adrogue went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Brown Adrogue scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Excursionistas has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Brown Adrogue VS Excursionistas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Brown Adrogue
(Home) 29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
25 Aug
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Brown Adrogue
21 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1 UAI Urquiza
15 Aug
Villa Dalmine
1 : 0 Brown Adrogue
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
21 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1 UAI Urquiza
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Jul
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
14 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 1 Laferrere
Page 1 of 4
Excursionistas
(Away) 29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Jul
Flandria
1 : 1 Excursionistas
14 Jul
Defensores Unidos
0 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 39:20 | 60 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 35:16 | 60 |
| 5 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 35:17 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 55 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37:32 | 52 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 35:37 | 47 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39:42 | 46 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38:34 | 43 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 30:32 | 41 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 31:36 | 40 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34:38 | 38 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 28:35 | 37 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 25:33 | 36 |
| 18 | Flandria | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 28:39 | 35 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 28:36 | 33 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 21:35 | 33 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 33 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15:29 | 28 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 19:51 | 14 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
