Sport Picks
Brown Adrogue vs Excursionistas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Adrogue 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Baez B. In: Meaurio N.
Out: Baez B.
52'
52'
Silva J.
58'
58'
Sub
Alaniz M. In: Avalos A.
Out: Alaniz M.
AI Match Summary
Brown Adrogue in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brown Adrogue.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excursionistas lately — more wins on the board than Brown Adrogue.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Brown Adrogue have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 20%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brown Adrogue | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.61 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Excursionistas
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Brown Adrogue
1:0
Jul 9, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Brown Adrogue
0:2
Feb 19, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Excursionistas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brown Adrogue Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Excursionistas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brown Adrogue 32 / 100
Excursionistas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brown Adrogue Excursionistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brown Adrogue has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Brown Adrogue scored in 46% of their last 28 games.
Excursionistas has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Brown Adrogue VS Excursionistas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Brown Adrogue
(Home) 17 Oct
Comunicaciones
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
12 Oct
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Dock Sud
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Brown Adrogue
3 : 0 Deportivo Camioneros
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Dock Sud
26 Sept
Brown Adrogue
3 : 0 Deportivo Camioneros
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
21 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1 UAI Urquiza
Page 1 of 3
Excursionistas
(Away) 17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 Excursionistas
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 Excursionistas
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 64:31 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 53:26 | 73 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 47:29 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42:26 | 68 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 47:32 | 67 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 39:27 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42:38 | 62 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42:39 | 62 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 39:34 | 57 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 49:52 | 55 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40:43 | 50 |
| 13 | Dep. Merlo | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39:53 | 48 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 15 | CSD Liniers | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 33:41 | 45 |
| 16 | Flandria | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 17 | Argentino de Merlo | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 36:44 | 44 |
| 18 | Argentino de Quilmes | 40 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 32:40 | 44 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25:37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33:40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 40 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 27:64 | 17 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
