Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brunswick Juventus vs Geelong

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brunswick Juventus play Geelong in the NPL Victoria 2 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brunswick Juventus averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Geelong averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Brunswick Juventus won 1, Geelong won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Brunswick Juventus and 1.13 for Geelong. This points to a Brunswick Juventus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Brunswick Juventus
17%
Draws
36%
Geelong
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brunswick Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Brunswick Juventus picked up more points recently compared to Geelong.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Brunswick Juventus Clean Sheet 21%
Geelong Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunswick Juventus Geelong
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.84 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Brunswick Juventus vs Geelong
2:1
Mar 30, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Geelong vs Brunswick Juventus
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunswick Juventus 47 / 100
Geelong 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunswick Juventus Geelong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brunswick Juventus or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brunswick Juventus attacking → ← attacking Geelong

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunswick Juventus scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Geelong let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Brunswick Juventus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Geelong lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 37
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eastern Lions28176554:3257
2Bulleen28165755:3953
3Northcote City281521146:4047
4Langwarrin28118944:3741
5Manningham United Blues281251148:4441
6Goulburn Valley Suns281061255:5236
7Melbourne City U2128951458:6532
8Murray United FC281041450:6431
9Box Hill284101431:4922
10Springvale28471726:7019
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1St Albans28174758:3055
2Brunswick Juventus28158550:3053
3Werribee City28146851:3248
4Moreland City28138757:4244
5North Geelong Warriors281351042:3544
6Brunswick City281171050:4440
7Geelong281061239:4336
8Whittlesea Rangers281061236:4936
9Melbourne Victory U2128671536:4825
10Ballarat City28352035:7614