Sport Picks

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Brusaporto vs Oltrepo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Franceschinis G.

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oltrepo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brusaporto
39%
Draws
30%
Oltrepo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Brusaporto haven't matched Oltrepo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 18%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Oltrepo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Brusaporto
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Oltrepo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Franceschinis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 32 / 100
Oltrepo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Oltrepo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusaporto found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Oltrepo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Brusaporto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS Oltrepo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1
Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4
AC Milan U23
02 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

Oltrepo

(Away)
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Oltrepo
02 Apr
Oltrepo
1 : 0
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)