Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusaporto vs Oltrepo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Franceschinis G.

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oltrepo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brusaporto
15%
Draws
45%
Oltrepo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Brusaporto at 1.1 per game, Oltrepo at 1.07.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 17%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Oltrepo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Brusaporto
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Oltrepo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Franceschinis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 31 / 100
Oltrepo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Oltrepo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusaporto found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Oltrepo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Brusaporto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS Oltrepo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1
Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
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Oltrepo

(Away)
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Oltrepo
02 Apr
Oltrepo
1 : 0
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)