Sport Picks

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Brusaporto vs Tritium

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bosia L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Brusaporto and Tritium finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tritium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brusaporto
20%
Draws
20%
Tritium
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Brusaporto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Brusaporto a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brusaporto have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Tritium
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Tritium
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Tritium
0:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Brusaporto
2:4
May 26, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Tritium
2:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Brusaporto
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Tritium Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 50 / 100
Tritium 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Tritium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tritium conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Brusaporto scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Tritium's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS Tritium
0.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
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Tritium

(Away)
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2
Solbiatese
05 May
Tritium
2 : 4
Pro Palazzolo
28 Apr
Club Milano
1 : 1
Tritium
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)