Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusque vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2025 Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Brusque Logo

Brusque

2 - 0
FT
Concordia Logo

Concordia

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Luizao
73' Event
Italo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brusque in this Copa Santa Catarina 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Brusque
35%
Draws
12%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusque lately — more wins on the board than Concordia.
  • Model gives Brusque a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Brusque have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brusque, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Concordia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.47 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Concordia
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Brusque vs Concordia
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Brusque
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Luizao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Concordia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 95 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Brusque scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Concordia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
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Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
2 Marcilio Dias 6 4 1 1 23:5 13
3 Avai 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 1 0 5 4:20 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 1 4 1 4:6 7
3 Brusque 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
4 Concordia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenau 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Joinville 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Carlos Renaux 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
4 Nacao 6 0 3 3 2:9 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
2 Tubarao 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
3 Caravaggio 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
4 Camboriu 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)