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Brusque vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Brusque Logo

Brusque

1 - 2
FT
Fluminense-SC Logo

Fluminense-SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fluminense-SC in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Brusque
35%
Draws
28%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusque lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-SC.
  • Win probability leans Brusque's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Brusque have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brusque Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 18 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Brusque
2:2
Sep 29, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Brusque vs Fluminense-SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 76 / 100
Fluminense-SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Brusque has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brusque scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Fluminense-SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)