Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusque vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Jeferson
18' Event
Joao Pedro
33'
Lucas Mota

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Brusque and Ituano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Brusque
15%
Draws
21%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ituano haven't matched Brusque's recent run of results.
  • Brusque are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Ituano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Ituano
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C
Ituano vs Brusque
0:0
Oct 14, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Ituano
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Serie B
Ituano vs Brusque
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 Serie B
Ituano vs Brusque
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 68 / 100
Ituano 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ituano has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Brusque remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Ituano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Ituano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
Page 1 of 6

Ituano

(Away)
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 17 9 3 5 25:19 30
2 Internacional de Limeira 17 8 4 5 22:20 28
3 Botafogo PB 17 8 3 6 23:18 27
4 Paysandu PA 16 8 2 6 25:22 26
5 Guarani 16 7 5 4 29:17 26
6 Santa Cruz 17 7 4 6 17:14 25
7 Ypiranga FC 16 7 3 6 22:20 24
8 Amazonas 17 7 3 7 18:20 24
9 SER Caxias do Sul 16 6 6 4 16:12 24
10 Ferroviaria 16 6 6 4 17:14 24
11 Maranhao 17 6 6 5 14:15 24
12 Maringa FC 16 6 5 5 28:28 23
13 Ituano 17 6 4 7 18:18 22
14 Volta Redonda 17 6 3 8 12:21 21
15 Floresta EC 16 5 6 5 17:19 21
16 Figueirense 16 5 6 5 15:20 21
17 Itabaiana 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
18 Anapolis 16 4 3 9 15:20 15
19 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 6 7 17:19 15
20 Confianca 16 3 3 10 10:17 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)