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Brusque vs Ituano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Jeferson
18' Event
Joao Pedro
33'
Lucas Mota

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Brusque and Ituano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Brusque
30%
Draws
23%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano haven't matched Brusque's recent run of results.
  • Brusque are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Ituano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Ituano
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C
Ituano vs Brusque
0:0
Oct 14, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Ituano
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Serie B
Ituano vs Brusque
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 Serie B
Ituano vs Brusque
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 77 / 100
Ituano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ituano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Brusque remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Ituano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Ituano
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2
Brusque
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

Ituano

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)