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Brusque vs Paysandu PA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brusque host Paysandu PA in the Serie C. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Brusque at 1.38 goals for, 1.24 against; Paysandu PA at 1.6 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Brusque have won 3 to Paysandu PA's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Brusque. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Brusque
35%
Draws
26%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paysandu PA lately — more wins on the board than Brusque.
  • Brusque are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brusque Clean Sheet 19%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Paysandu PA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
1:1
Nov 12, 2024 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
1:0
Jul 25, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Jul 1, 2023 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 49 / 100
Paysandu PA 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Brusque found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Brusque stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Paysandu PA
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2
Brusque
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

Paysandu PA

(Away)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)