Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brzeg vs BKS Sparta Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Klis T.
86' Event
Mozola M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Brzeg
20%
Draws
63%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Brzeg haven't matched BKS Sparta Katowice's recent run of results.
  • Model gives BKS Sparta Katowice a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 10%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzeg BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs BKS Sparta Katowice
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Klis T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzeg 10 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzeg BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brzeg scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: BKS Sparta Katowice conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Brzeg stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brzeg VS BKS Sparta Katowice
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brzeg

(Home)
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
Page 1 of 6

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0
Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)