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Stadium Background

Brzeg vs Goczalkowice Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Nowak M.
45' Event
Wroblewski N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brzeg
15%
Draws
57%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Goczalkowice Zdroj have won more games recently than Brzeg.
  • Win probability leans Brzeg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 16%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzeg Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Brzeg
2:0
May 27, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Brzeg
3:1
Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Wroblewski N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzeg 48 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzeg Goczalkowice Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brzeg found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Goczalkowice Zdroj conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Goczalkowice Zdroj has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brzeg VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brzeg

(Home)
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
Page 1 of 6

Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Away)
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
05 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 0
Kluczbork
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
7 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
8 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)