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Brzeg vs Unia Turza Slaska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brzeg play Unia Turza Slaska in the III Liga - Group III 2024/2025. Brzeg are favorites here. Recently, Brzeg averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Unia Turza Slaska averaged 1 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. In past meetings, Brzeg won 3, Unia Turza Slaska won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Brzeg and 1.25 for Unia Turza Slaska. This points to a Brzeg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Brzeg
22%
Draws
16%
Unia Turza Slaska
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Brzeg picked up more points recently compared to Unia Turza Slaska.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 19%
Unia Turza Slaska Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzeg Unia Turza Slaska
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Unia Turza Slaska
2:0
Oct 2, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Unia Turza Slaska vs Brzeg
1:1
Apr 18, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Unia Turza Slaska vs Brzeg
2:3
Aug 12, 2017 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Unia Turza Slaska
2:0
Jun 17, 2017 III Liga - Group III
Unia Turza Slaska vs Brzeg
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Luczkiewicz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rakoczy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Unia Turza Slaska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzeg 60 / 100
Unia Turza Slaska 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzeg Unia Turza Slaska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Brzeg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brzeg attacking → ← attacking Unia Turza Slaska

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brzeg scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Unia Turza Slaska let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Brzeg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Unia Turza Slaska lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 9
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slask Wroclaw II34236575:3075
2Kluczbork34216769:2369
3Legnica II34207772:4567
4Carina Gubin34196962:3663
5Warta Gorzow34187957:3961
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341414648:3456
7Sleza Wroclaw3414101056:4752
8Zielona Gora341571248:3752
9Polkowice341491148:4051
10Pniowek Pawlowice341541542:6349
11Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341391240:4348
12Gornik Zabrze II341391257:4448
13Stilon Gorzow341361542:4445
14Podlesianka Katowice341071751:6137
15Bytom Odrzanski34891742:7133
16Unia Turza Slaska34562328:7321
17Brzeg34392226:6018
18Polonia Slubice34133016:896