Sport Picks

Poland

Division 2 2015/2016

Stal Stalowa Wola

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brzesko play Stal Stalowa Wola in the Division 2 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brzesko averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Brzesko won 2, Stal Stalowa Wola won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Brzesko and 1.88 for Stal Stalowa Wola. This points to a Stal Stalowa Wola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Brzesko

25%

Draws

49%

Stal Stalowa Wola

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Brzesko picked up more points recently compared to Stal Stalowa Wola.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Brzesko Clean Sheet 10%

Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brzesko	Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	2	15
Losses	22	7
Goals Scored	0.67	1.37
Goals Conceded	2.27	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Brzesko

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Nov 14, 2015 Division 2

Brzesko vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

May 31, 2015 Division 2

Brzesko vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:3

Nov 8, 2014 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Brzesko

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Nov 5, 2011 Division 2 - East

Brzesko vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 60% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzesko 25 / 100

Stal Stalowa Wola 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brzesko Stal Stalowa Wola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stal Stalowa Wola or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brzesko attacking → ← attacking Stal Stalowa Wola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brzesko scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Stal Stalowa Wola let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Brzesko went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Stal Stalowa Wola lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 39

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stal Mielec	34	20	9	5	56:27	69
2	Pruszkow	34	18	10	6	53:33	64
3	Tychy	34	17	8	9	46:27	59
4	Wisla Pulawy	34	16	9	9	47:30	57
5	Rakow Czestochowa	34	15	8	11	59:48	53
6	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	16	5	13	47:43	53
7	Puszcza	34	12	14	8	40:29	50
8	Radomiak Radom	34	14	8	12	44:34	50
9	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	34	12	12	10	33:33	48
10	Legionowo	34	13	8	13	41:35	47
11	Polonia Bytom	34	13	6	15	42:44	44
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	11	9	14	37:36	42
13	ROW Rybnik	34	9	11	14	37:47	38
14	Olimpia Zambrow	34	9	10	15	37:54	37
15	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	9	10	15	36:48	37
16	Nadwislan Gora	34	10	4	20	38:61	34
17	Gryf Wejherowo	34	8	9	17	35:51	33
18	Brzesko	34	7	4	23	23:71	25