Sport Picks

Portugal

League Cup 2022/2023 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras

BSAD

2 - 3

Boavista

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Pacheco E.

Assist: Henrique

24'

Saramago B.

Assist: Castro T.

32'

dos Santos L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Boavista advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

BSAD

30%

Draws

35%

Boavista

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and BSAD come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
35% — that's where the model lands on BSAD taking it.
BSAD have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

BSAD Clean Sheet 68%

Boavista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	BSAD	Boavista
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	10	6
Draws	9	4
Losses	12	21
Goals Scored	1.26	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.87
Expected Goals (xG)	1.73	0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2022 League Cup

BSAD vs Boavista

2:3

Mar 12, 2022 Liga Portugal

BSAD vs Boavista

0:0

Oct 25, 2021 Liga Portugal

Boavista vs BSAD

0:0

Apr 4, 2021 Liga Portugal

BSAD vs Boavista

0:2

Nov 29, 2020 Liga Portugal

Boavista vs BSAD

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Saramago B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.33

Avg xA / game 0.86

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Mangas R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gorre K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.73

Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BSAD 95 / 100

Boavista 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

BSAD Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BSAD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

BSAD scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: BSAD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Boavista has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Boavista

0 Goals Scored 0.5

0 Goals Conceded 2.25

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BSAD

(Home)

11 Jun

BSAD

0 : 1

Vilaverdense FC

03 Jun

Vilaverdense FC

1 : 1

BSAD

28 May

Vilafranquense

1 : 1

BSAD

20 May

BSAD

2 : 1

Oliveirense

13 May

BSAD

2 : 2

Mafra

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Boavista

(Away)

17 May

Arouca

4 : 1

Boavista

11 May

Boavista

1 : 2

FC Porto

05 May

AFS

1 : 2

Boavista

27 Apr

Boavista

0 : 5

Sporting CP

18 Apr

SC Farense

0 : 1

Boavista

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