Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BSAD vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jeffinho
Assist: Castro T.
17' Event
Lopes T.
Assist: Boni T.
23' Event
Coxixo M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

BSAD in this Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
BSAD
35%
Draws
37%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Machico have won more games recently than BSAD.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on BSAD taking it.
  • Machico arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor BSAD, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
BSAD Clean Sheet 19%
Machico Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BSAD Machico
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2022 Taça de Portugal
BSAD vs Machico
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Machico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BSAD 42 / 100
Machico 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BSAD Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

BSAD scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: BSAD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Machico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Machico
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BSAD

(Home)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 7

Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pero Pinheiro 7
AD Portomosense 1
Ferreiras 2
Culatrense 0
SC Pombal 2
Tomar 1
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarda Desportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 5
SC Salgueiros 2
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Maria de Fonte 0
Merelinense 4
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Alcains 0
Sertanense 1
TBD -
Castro Daire -
Lusitano FCV 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 3
Vila Cortez 1
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
Leca 1
GD Resende 2
FC Felgueiras 5
Mondinense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 3
Sao Roque 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
Juv. Evora 3
Moncarapachense 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Oriental Dragon 2
1º Dezembro 1
Canelas 2010 2
Regua 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 1
Rebordosa 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 2
Vila Mea 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Marinhense 0
Leiria 1
Rebordelo 0
CDC Montalegre 5
Sao Joao de Ver 7
Mortagua FC 1
Esperanca de Lagos 2
Industria 0
Vila Caiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense -
TBD -
Santa Eulalia 0
Tirsense 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal -
SB Castelo Branco 8
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC -
TBD -
Dumiense 4
Brito 1
Sintrense 1
Fazendense 0
TBD -
Real SC -
Vilaverdense FC 3
Atletico Arcos 1
TBD -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Atletico SC 2
Olhanense 5
TBD -
Monte do Trigo -
Freamunde 2
GD Joane 3
TBD -
BSAD -
Machico -
TBD -
Alverca 2
Rio Maior SC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Oriental 1
FC Madalena 0
FC Alpendorada 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Courense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Camacha 1
Amarante FC 0
Arronches Benfica 2
Mosteirense 0
Vinhais 0
SC Vianense 4
GS Loures -
TBD -
Meda 0
Beira Mar 6
GD Braganca 2
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Montijo -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Santarem 1
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 5
CD Ribeira Brava 0
TBD -
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal -
TBD -
Serpa 3
Castrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Lusitano GC 0
GD Fontinhas 2
SC Lusitania 2
SC Praiense 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
1/64-finals
Pero Pinheiro 2
Ferreiras 1
SC Pombal 2
Vigor Mocidade 0
Vitoria Setubal 4
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho 4
Guarda Desportiva 3
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 2
Olivais e Moscavide 0
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense 0
Nacional 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Oliveirense 4
Academica 1
Tondela 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Merelinense 3
CD Rabo Peixe 4
Sertanense 3
Castro Daire 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 1
CF Os Belenenses 3
Torreense 1
GD Resende 1
FC Felgueiras 2
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 1
Moreirense 3
Juv. Evora 2
Vilafranquense 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Canelas 2010 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 2
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Leiria 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Vila Caiz 1
Amora 3
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC 3
Covilha 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense 1
Tirsense 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Leixoes 5
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 0
Imortal 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
SC Farense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Trofense 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC 0
Dumiense 5
Sintrense 2
Real SC 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
Atletico CP 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Olhanense 1
Monte do Trigo 0
GD Joane 0
BSAD 3
Machico 2
Alverca 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Academico Viseu 6
Oriental 2
Paredes 1
Silves FC 3
Courense 5
ACDR Lamelas 0
Camacha 1
Arronches Benfica 0
SC Vianense 2
GS Loures 0
Beira Mar 3
GD Braganca 1
Montijo 0
Agueda 0
Pevidem 1
Santarem 0
Mafra 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 1
Anadia 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Serpa 8
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
GD Fontinhas 5
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Arouca -
1/32-finals
Pero Pinheiro 4
SC Pombal 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pacos Ferreira 0
Sao Martinho 0
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Chaves 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 2
Santa Clara 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sertanense 1
Sanjoanense 3
CF Os Belenenses 2
FC Felgueiras 1
Braga 2
Moreirense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Canelas 2010 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Penafiel 3
Vizela 4
Varzim 1
Sporting CP 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Amora 2
Estoril 3
Caldas SC 1
Benfica 2
Tirsense 1
Leixoes 4
Imortal 0
SC Farense 3
Trofense 0
Famalicao 1
Dumiense 2
Real SC 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Portimonense 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 0
BSAD 2
Machico 1
Boavista 0
Academico Viseu 1
Oriental 0
Courense 0
Camacha 6
SC Vianense 1
Beira Mar 2
GD Braganca 0
Pevidem 1
Mafra 4
Maritimo 2
Anadia 0
FC Porto 6
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 3
GD Fontinhas 0
Arouca 2
1/16-finals
Pero Pinheiro 1
Vitoria Setubal 4
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Nacional 1
Tondela 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sanjoanense 0
Braga 2
Moreirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Vizela 1
Varzim 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Estoril 0
Benfica 1
Leixoes 3
SC Farense 1
Famalicao 4
Dumiense 1
Vilaverdense FC 7
Oliveira Hospital 0
BSAD 4
Machico 0
Academico Viseu 3
Camacha 0
Beira Mar 3
Pevidem 2
Mafra 0
FC Porto 3
Gil Vicente 1
Arouca 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Setubal 0
Casa Pia 1
Nacional 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Braga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Varzim 0
Benfica 2
Leixoes 1
Famalicao 2
Vilaverdense FC 1
BSAD 4
Academico Viseu 2
Beira Mar 0
FC Porto 4
Arouca 0
Quarter-finals
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 5
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Famalicao 4
BSAD 1
Academico Viseu 0
FC Porto 1
Semi-finals
Nacional 2
Braga 7
Famalicao 3
FC Porto 5
Final
Braga 0
FC Porto 2