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Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
09:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bucaramanga host Dep. Pasto in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. Pasto have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Bucaramanga have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Bucaramanga have won 1 to Dep. Pasto's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 0.94) back Dep. Pasto to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bucaramanga
20%
Draws
22%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bucaramanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bucaramanga haven't matched Dep. Pasto's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bucaramanga's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaramanga Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Bucaramanga
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Bucaramanga
3:0
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto
2:1
Oct 24, 2024 Copa Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaramanga 59 / 100
Dep. Pasto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaramanga Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bucaramanga scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Dep. Pasto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Bucaramanga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Dep. Pasto registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bucaramanga VS Dep. Pasto
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaramanga

(Home)
09 Aug
Alianza
2 : 3
Bucaramanga
04 Aug
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Cucuta
31 Jul
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Llaneros
25 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1
Bucaramanga
24 May
Alianza
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
09 Aug
Dep. Pasto
0 : 2
Dep. Cali
05 Aug
Millonarios
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto
01 Aug
Dep. Pasto
1 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
29 Jul
Bogota
0 : 3
Dep. Pasto
25 Jul
Ind. Medellin
3 : 2
Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 5 4 1 0 11:0 13
2 Llaneros 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Deportes Tolima 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
4 Ind. Medellin 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
5 Bucaramanga 5 2 3 0 6:4 9
6 Aguilas Doradas 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
7 Cucuta 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
8 Dep. Cali 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
9 Millonarios 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
10 Once Caldas 5 1 3 1 9:6 6
11 Atl. Nacional 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
12 Santa Fe 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
13 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Inter Bogotá 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Jaguares de Cordoba 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
16 Dep. Pereira 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
17 Alianza 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
18 Junior 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
19 Dep. Pasto 5 0 0 5 3:10 0
20 Chico 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)