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Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:05 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bucaramanga host Dep. Pasto in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. Pasto have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Bucaramanga have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.46. Head-to-head, Bucaramanga have won 2 to Dep. Pasto's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 0.88) back Bucaramanga to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bucaramanga
30%
Draws
23%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bucaramanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto haven't matched Bucaramanga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bucaramanga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucaramanga Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.46 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Bucaramanga
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Bucaramanga
3:0
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto
2:1
Oct 24, 2024 Copa Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pasto vs Bucaramanga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucaramanga 95 / 100
Dep. Pasto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucaramanga Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bucaramanga scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Dep. Pasto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Bucaramanga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bucaramanga VS Dep. Pasto
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucaramanga

(Home)
23 Oct
Chico
1 : 0
Bucaramanga
18 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
America De Cali
13 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Aguilas Doradas
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
23 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Alianza
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 15 10 2 3 30:13 32
2 America De Cali 15 9 4 2 29:11 31
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 14 6 7 1 22:13 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 15 7 2 6 22:21 23
8 Once Caldas 16 5 6 5 20:18 21
9 Cucuta 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 15 4 7 4 19:20 19
12 Alianza 15 5 3 7 16:26 18
13 Inter Bogotá 16 3 8 5 18:22 17
14 Llaneros 15 5 2 8 16:20 17
15 Junior 15 3 6 6 20:23 15
16 Chico 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 15 1 9 5 16:22 12
19 Dep. Pasto 15 3 3 9 10:22 12
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 14 2 4 8 16:28 10
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)