Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buchbach vs Aschaffenburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stossberger T.
18' Event
Stossberger T.
24' Event
Ammari S.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Buchbach and Aschaffenburg finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buchbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Buchbach
15%
Draws
27%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Buchbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Buchbach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 16%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buchbach Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Aschaffenburg
6:3
Oct 31, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Buchbach
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Buchbach
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Aschaffenburg
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Aschaffenburg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buchbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Stossberger T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ammari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aschaffenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Obolkin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berg J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buchbach 39 / 100
Aschaffenburg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buchbach Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Buchbach has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Buchbach found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Aschaffenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buchbach VS Aschaffenburg
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buchbach

(Home)
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
14 Aug
Buchbach
1 : 1
TSV Aubstadt
Page 1 of 6

Aschaffenburg

(Away)
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
09 Sept
Grossbardorf
3 : 1
Aschaffenburg
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
28 Aug
Aschaffenburg
3 : 0
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
21 Aug
Cham
4 : 1
Aschaffenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)