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Buchbach vs Eltersdorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Renner R.
61' Event
Jassmann Y.

AI Match Summary

Eltersdorf in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eltersdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Buchbach
15%
Draws
32%
Eltersdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Buchbach have won more games recently than Eltersdorf.
  • Win probability leans Buchbach's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 16%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buchbach Eltersdorf
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Eltersdorf
0:2
Mar 25, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Eltersdorf
1:1
Aug 31, 2021 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Buchbach
4:2
Nov 10, 2012 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Eltersdorf
5:1
Jul 25, 2012 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Buchbach
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buchbach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Eltersdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Renner R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jassmann Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buchbach 57 / 100
Eltersdorf 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buchbach Eltersdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buchbach found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Eltersdorf has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Buchbach stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buchbach VS Eltersdorf
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buchbach

(Home)
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
29 Sept
Unterhaching
2 : 2
Buchbach
25 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 1
Buchbach
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
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Eltersdorf

(Away)
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Eltersdorf
0 : 2
Vfb Eichstatt
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)