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Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bucheon FC 1995 host Gwangju FC in the K League 1. This one's hard to separate. Bucheon FC 1995 have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Gwangju FC's 0.79 scored and 2.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Bucheon FC 1995 have won 1 to Gwangju FC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Bucheon FC 1995. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bucheon FC 1995
35%
Draws
56%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gwangju FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bucheon FC 1995 lately — more wins on the board than Gwangju FC.
  • Model gives Gwangju FC a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bucheon FC 1995 Clean Sheet 16%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bucheon FC 1995 Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 K League 1
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 Korean Cup
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
1:2
Aug 20, 2025 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
2:0
Jun 19, 2024 Korean Cup
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bucheon FC 1995 10 / 100
Gwangju FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bucheon FC 1995 Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwangju FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gwangju FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Bucheon FC 1995's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bucheon FC 1995 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bucheon FC 1995 VS Gwangju FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bucheon FC 1995

(Home)
09 Oct
Gangwon
2 : 0
Bucheon FC 1995
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

Gwangju FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 31 14 5 12 48:44 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 31 2 12 17 25:66 18
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)