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Buckley vs Denbigh Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bellis A.
12' Event
Kelly T.
25' Event
Brown N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Denbigh in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Buckley
15%
Draws
20%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denbigh lately — more wins on the board than Buckley.
  • Win probability leans Buckley's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Buckley Clean Sheet 16%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buckley Denbigh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru North
Buckley vs Denbigh
2:4
Mar 13, 2026 Cymru North
Buckley vs Denbigh
1:4
Sep 5, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Buckley
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Denbigh
0:5
Dec 21, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Buckley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vaughan-Evans F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckley 84 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buckley Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Buckley found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Buckley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buckley VS Denbigh
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buckley

(Home)
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6

Denbigh

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 9 8 0 1 23:4 24
2 Mold Alexandra 9 6 2 1 23:11 20
3 Newtown 8 6 1 1 16:2 19
4 Bala 9 6 0 3 17:14 18
5 Porthmadog 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
6 Caersws FC 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
7 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
8 Guilsfield 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
9 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
10 Llanuwchllyn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Rhyl 8 2 3 3 15:16 9
12 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
13 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
14 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
15 Gresford 8 1 1 6 5:21 4
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)