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Buckley vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Banks J.
57' Event
McHarrie S.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Buckley and Porthmadog finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Buckley
30%
Draws
33%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Porthmadog carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Buckley's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Buckley Clean Sheet 16%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buckley Porthmadog
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cymru North
Buckley vs Porthmadog
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Porthmadog vs Buckley
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Buckley
1:3
Dec 9, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Porthmadog vs Buckley
0:2
Aug 28, 2023 Cymru North
Buckley vs Porthmadog
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer McHarrie S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Banks J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckley 75 / 100
Porthmadog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buckley Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Buckley remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Buckley scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Buckley VS Porthmadog
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buckley

(Home)
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7

Porthmadog

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 11 4 3 4 25:19 15
10 Rhyl 10 2 4 4 18:20 10
11 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
12 Ruthin Town 11 2 3 6 10:21 9
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
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