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Budoni Calcio vs Montespaccato Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Coratella C.
77' Event
Gomez V.

AI Match Summary

Montespaccato in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montespaccato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Budoni Calcio
20%
Draws
10%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Budoni Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Budoni Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
  • Model gives Budoni Calcio a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Budoni Calcio Montespaccato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Montespaccato
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Budoni Calcio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Budoni Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Coratella C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Budoni Calcio 95 / 100
Montespaccato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Budoni Calcio Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Budoni Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Budoni Calcio scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Budoni Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Budoni Calcio VS Montespaccato
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.29
38% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Budoni Calcio

(Home)
27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3
Budoni Calcio
20 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 0
Anzio Calcio 1924
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
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Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)