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Buelna vs Barreda Balompie

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Buelna and Barreda Balompie finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buelna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Buelna
15%
Draws
34%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buelna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barreda Balompie come out ahead of Buelna on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Barreda Balompie taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Buelna here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Buelna Clean Sheet 16%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buelna Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Buelna
0:1
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Barreda Balompie
5:2
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Barreda Balompie
2:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Buelna
1:2
Jan 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Buelna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buelna 28 / 100
Barreda Balompie 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buelna Barreda Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Barreda Balompie has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Buelna's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barreda Balompie
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Buelna

(Home)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
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Barreda Balompie

(Away)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)