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Buhos ULVR vs America de Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buhos ULVR play America de Quito in the Serie B 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buhos ULVR averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. America de Quito averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Buhos ULVR won 1, America de Quito won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 27, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Buhos ULVR and 2.06 for America de Quito. This points to a America de Quito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Buhos ULVR
6%
Draws
90%
America de Quito
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Quito has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Buhos ULVR.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for America de Quito.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Buhos ULVR Clean Sheet 10%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buhos ULVR America de Quito
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Serie B
Buhos ULVR vs America de Quito
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Buhos ULVR
2:2
Jun 28, 2023 Serie B
Buhos ULVR vs America de Quito
3:1
May 11, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Buhos ULVR
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 Serie B
America de Quito vs Buhos ULVR
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buhos ULVR Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Guayasamin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buhos ULVR 10 / 100
America de Quito 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buhos ULVR America de Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhos ULVR scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

America de Quito let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Buhos ULVR went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

America de Quito lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buhos ULVR VS America de Quito
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330