Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Atletico Porteno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buhos ULVR play Atletico Porteno in the Serie B 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buhos ULVR averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Atletico Porteno averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Buhos ULVR won 3, Atletico Porteno won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2021 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Buhos ULVR and 1.19 for Atletico Porteno. This points to a Buhos ULVR double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Buhos ULVR

19%

Draws

40%

Atletico Porteno

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Buhos ULVR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Buhos ULVR picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Porteno.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Buhos ULVR Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Buhos ULVR	Atletico Porteno
Matches Played	37	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	14	4
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	1.03	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2021 Serie B

Buhos ULVR vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

4:3

Jul 4, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Buhos ULVR

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Jun 13, 2021 Serie B

Buhos ULVR vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Apr 21, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Buhos ULVR

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buhos ULVR Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lino H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuesta J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mina S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buhos ULVR 41 / 100

Atletico Porteno 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Buhos ULVR Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Buhos ULVR or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buhos ULVR attacking → ← attacking Atletico Porteno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhos ULVR scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Atletico Porteno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Buhos ULVR went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Porteno lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 34

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37