Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bukovyna vs Bastion Illichivsk

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bukovyna play Bastion Illichivsk in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bukovyna averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Bastion Illichivsk averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Bukovyna won 1, Bastion Illichivsk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2010 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Bukovyna and 0.81 for Bastion Illichivsk. This points to a Bukovyna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bukovyna
15%
Draws
37%
Bastion Illichivsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bukovyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Bukovyna picked up more points recently compared to Bastion Illichivsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 26%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bukovyna Bastion Illichivsk
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 16
Draws 1 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2010 Druha Liga
Bukovyna vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:0
Sep 19, 2009 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Bukovyna
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bukovyna 48 / 100
Bastion Illichivsk 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bukovyna Bastion Illichivsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bukovyna or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bukovyna attacking → ← attacking Bastion Illichivsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bukovyna scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Bastion Illichivsk let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bukovyna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bastion Illichivsk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 54
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
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